440 FNUS86 KLOX 222322 FWLLOX ECCDA DISCUSSIONS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 322 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2008 ECC029-231730- LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST- DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH 322 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2008 ...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD... ..POTENTIAL WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN NEXT WEEK... WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING HAS NOW SHIFTED WEAKLY ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONSHORE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE MARINE LAYER BEGINS TO DEEPEN. THIS WILL BRING MORE EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO MUCH OF THE REGION. ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS AHEAD OF OUR FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM. THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF RAIN TO THE CENTRAL COAST BY MONDAY EVENING...REACHING VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF SHOWER ACTIVITY INTO WEDNESDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY OF THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAIN AT TIMES. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL ESTIMATES WITH THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE INCH OF RAIN FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAVORED SOUTH FACING SLOPES. INITIALLY SNOW LEVELS WILL BE ABOVE 7000 FEET...BUT COULD LOWER TO AROUND 5500 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEEK...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA. WHILE THIS SYSTEM COULD BE QUITE COLD AND VIGOROUS... THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRAJECTORY AND TIMING. AS A RESULT...THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR LATER IN THE WEEK. IF THIS STORM SYSTEM WERE TO MATERIALIZE...THERE WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW LEVELS BELOW 5000 FEET...WHICH COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 NEAR THE GRAPEVINE. ...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY... LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINED OF THE WEEKEND. AN APPROACHING PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BE NEAR THE CALIFORNIA COAST LATE ON MONDAY. AT THIS TIME THERE IS STILL A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY WHERE THE STORM WILL END UP AND WHAT AREAS WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY TO RECEIVE RAIN. SOME OF THE COMPUTER MODELS ALSO SHOW A POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. $$ $$ ECC028-231730- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST- DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH 322 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2008 ..POTENTIAL WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN NEXT WEEK... WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING HAS NOW SHIFTED WEAKLY ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONSHORE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE MARINE LAYER BEGINS TO DEEPEN. THIS WILL BRING MORE EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO MUCH OF THE REGION. ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS AHEAD OF OUR FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM. THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF RAIN TO THE CENTRAL COAST BY MONDAY EVENING...REACHING VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF SHOWER ACTIVITY INTO WEDNESDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY OF THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAIN AT TIMES. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL ESTIMATES WITH THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE INCH OF RAIN FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAVORED SOUTH FACING SLOPES. INITIALLY SNOW LEVELS WILL BE ABOVE 7000 FEET...BUT COULD LOWER TO AROUND 5500 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEEK...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA. WHILE THIS SYSTEM COULD BE QUITE COLD AND VIGOROUS... THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRAJECTORY AND TIMING. AS A RESULT...THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR LATER IN THE WEEK. IF THIS STORM SYSTEM WERE TO MATERIALIZE...THERE WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW LEVELS BELOW 5000 FEET...WHICH COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 NEAR THE GRAPEVINE. $$ ECC031-231730- ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST- DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH 322 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2008 ..POTENTIAL WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN NEXT WEEK... WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING HAS NOW SHIFTED WEAKLY ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONSHORE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE MARINE LAYER BEGINS TO DEEPEN. THIS WILL BRING MORE EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO MUCH OF THE REGION. ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS AHEAD OF OUR FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM. THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF RAIN TO THE CENTRAL COAST BY MONDAY EVENING...REACHING VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF SHOWER ACTIVITY INTO WEDNESDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY OF THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAIN AT TIMES. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL ESTIMATES WITH THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE INCH OF RAIN FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAVORED SOUTH FACING SLOPES. INITIALLY SNOW LEVELS WILL BE ABOVE 7000 FEET...BUT COULD LOWER TO AROUND 5500 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEEK...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA. WHILE THIS SYSTEM COULD BE QUITE COLD AND VIGOROUS... THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRAJECTORY AND TIMING. AS A RESULT...THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR LATER IN THE WEEK. IF THIS STORM SYSTEM WERE TO MATERIALIZE...THERE WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW LEVELS BELOW 5000 FEET...WHICH COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 NEAR THE GRAPEVINE. $$ ECC024-231730- SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY- DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH 322 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2008 ..POTENTIAL WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN NEXT WEEK... WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING HAS NOW SHIFTED WEAKLY ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONSHORE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE MARINE LAYER BEGINS TO DEEPEN. THIS WILL BRING MORE EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO MUCH OF THE REGION. ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS AHEAD OF OUR FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM. THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF RAIN TO THE CENTRAL COAST BY MONDAY EVENING...REACHING VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF SHOWER ACTIVITY INTO WEDNESDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY OF THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAIN AT TIMES. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL ESTIMATES WITH THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE INCH OF RAIN FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAVORED SOUTH FACING SLOPES. INITIALLY SNOW LEVELS WILL BE ABOVE 7000 FEET...BUT COULD LOWER TO AROUND 5500 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEEK...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA. WHILE THIS SYSTEM COULD BE QUITE COLD AND VIGOROUS... THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRAJECTORY AND TIMING. AS A RESULT...THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR LATER IN THE WEEK. IF THIS STORM SYSTEM WERE TO MATERIALIZE...THERE WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW LEVELS BELOW 5000 FEET...WHICH COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 NEAR THE GRAPEVINE. $$ ECC032-231730- VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST- DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH 322 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2008 ..POTENTIAL WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN NEXT WEEK... WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING HAS NOW SHIFTED WEAKLY ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONSHORE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE MARINE LAYER BEGINS TO DEEPEN. THIS WILL BRING MORE EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO MUCH OF THE REGION. ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS AHEAD OF OUR FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM. THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF RAIN TO THE CENTRAL COAST BY MONDAY EVENING...REACHING VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF SHOWER ACTIVITY INTO WEDNESDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY OF THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAIN AT TIMES. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL ESTIMATES WITH THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE INCH OF RAIN FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAVORED SOUTH FACING SLOPES. INITIALLY SNOW LEVELS WILL BE ABOVE 7000 FEET...BUT COULD LOWER TO AROUND 5500 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEEK...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA. WHILE THIS SYSTEM COULD BE QUITE COLD AND VIGOROUS... THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRAJECTORY AND TIMING. AS A RESULT...THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR LATER IN THE WEEK. IF THIS STORM SYSTEM WERE TO MATERIALIZE...THERE WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW LEVELS BELOW 5000 FEET...WHICH COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 NEAR THE GRAPEVINE. $$ ECC030-231730- LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST- DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH 322 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2008 ..POTENTIAL WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN NEXT WEEK... WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING HAS NOW SHIFTED WEAKLY ONSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONSHORE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE MARINE LAYER BEGINS TO DEEPEN. THIS WILL BRING MORE EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES TO MUCH OF THE REGION. ON MONDAY...THERE WILL BE SOUTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS AHEAD OF OUR FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM. THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF RAIN TO THE CENTRAL COAST BY MONDAY EVENING...REACHING VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED THREAT OF SHOWER ACTIVITY INTO WEDNESDAY. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY OF THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAIN AT TIMES. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL ESTIMATES WITH THIS FIRST WEATHER SYSTEM ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE INCH OF RAIN FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAVORED SOUTH FACING SLOPES. INITIALLY SNOW LEVELS WILL BE ABOVE 7000 FEET...BUT COULD LOWER TO AROUND 5500 FEET ON WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEEK...ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COULD IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA. WHILE THIS SYSTEM COULD BE QUITE COLD AND VIGOROUS... THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRAJECTORY AND TIMING. AS A RESULT...THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IN THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR LATER IN THE WEEK. IF THIS STORM SYSTEM WERE TO MATERIALIZE...THERE WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW LEVELS BELOW 5000 FEET...WHICH COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 NEAR THE GRAPEVINE. $$